Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 11.717770 13.419424 15.296487 17.523081 20.095521 22.978041 26.458367
2025-10-05 9.665615 11.933588 14.639899 18.116873 22.479642 27.791126 34.776259
2025-10-12 8.425855 10.975058 14.192696 18.571333 24.404840 31.951132 42.521258
2025-10-19 7.625759 10.378749 14.017886 19.211557 26.484865 36.383988 51.006903
2025-10-26 6.638755 9.374839 13.135051 18.722142 26.885490 38.488885 56.430923
2025-11-02 5.920101 8.639398 12.508654 18.469454 27.518274 40.895661 62.459072
2025-11-09 5.340089 8.028614 11.976673 18.262725 28.145096 43.291740 68.662519
2025-11-16 4.840827 7.479305 11.467644 18.013596 28.642791 45.488748 74.733299
2025-11-23 4.388178 6.952520 10.933716 17.654276 28.899812 47.287555 80.295236
2025-11-30 4.233188 6.877364 11.093592 18.414512 31.040613 52.346503 91.912395
2025-12-07 3.998136 6.647089 10.976088 18.691291 32.375437 56.153006 101.729413
2025-12-14 3.732367 6.339769 10.699551 18.661041 33.157394 59.048754 110.180465
2025-12-21 3.453748 5.990433 10.327821 18.439364 33.594157 61.404306 117.968463
2025-12-28 3.338022 5.915208 10.424180 19.066131 35.647109 66.939866 132.568364
2026-01-04 3.209077 5.803647 10.443175 19.545844 37.460487 72.191444 147.210045
2026-01-11 3.117374 5.751149 10.562512 20.221706 39.713455 78.518269 164.820539
2026-01-18 2.875969 5.398123 10.091819 19.705041 39.532161 79.931351 172.111233
2026-01-25 2.687986 5.131679 9.763226 19.438301 39.828877 82.343895 181.856804
2026-02-01 2.522155 4.894938 9.472499 19.220083 40.200521 84.940111 192.307964
2026-02-08 2.365315 4.663647 9.173793 18.957121 40.447029 87.281418 202.434751
2026-02-15 2.209126 4.421707 8.834684 18.577868 40.400179 88.962404 211.181388
2026-02-22 2.183409 4.444491 9.037116 19.380305 43.059891 97.012005 236.429150
2026-03-01 2.109061 4.359986 9.009075 19.672474 44.583532 102.591315 256.202575